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Toronto, Canada

Winter chill-hour tracker: Toronto

Count completed-season hours in a simple 0–7.2°C model for deciduous fruit planning.

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Winter chill in Toronto

Chill is counted hour by hour and these are monthly means, so this gives the months that sit in the chill band rather than an hour count. The tracker above gives hours for the completed season.

Months averaging ≤ 7.2 °CJanuary, February, March, April, November and December
Coldest monthJanuary — -3.4 °C
Winter mean (Dec–Feb)-2.2 °C
First autumn frost (mean)8 November

These come from the ERA5 reanalysis on a roughly 9 km grid, so they describe the area rather than your plot. A shaded, sheltered corner holds leaf wetness longer than open ground, so conditions there can favour it more often than the figure suggests. This is a climate profile, not a forecast — the panel above carries the current risk.

How to read the result

The result uses the location coordinates and the data available when calculated. Treat it as a signal to check conditions on site: a garden microclimate can differ from the weather-model grid cell.

Full method and limitations · Decision guides

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